Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Primorje · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Primorje 1-1 Dravinja
Original prediction
Primorje
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 58.2% | 44.1% | -14.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 22.8% | 26.8% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 4.74 | 19.1% | 29.1% | 10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.98 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Primorje
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Primorje has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PrimorjeDDLLD
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
DravinjaLLWLD
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
PrimorjeDravinja
33.3Attack0.0
33.3Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
23.7Power15.3
1.63xG1.32