Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Primorje · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Primorje 2-3 Bilje
Original prediction
Primorje
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 48.2% | 40.2% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.7% | 26.9% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.45 | 26.1% | 32.9% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Primorje
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Primorje has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PrimorjeDWLWL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BiljeWLLWW
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
PrimorjeBilje
33.3Attack50.0
33.3Defence16.7
0.0Form50.0
23.7Power42.7
1.57xG1.48