Primavera SPvs
São Caetano
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa Paulista · 9/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Primavera SP · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Primavera SP 2-0 São Caetano, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Primavera SP 7-0 São Caetano
Original prediction
Primavera SP
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.18 | 76.6% | 71.4% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.41 | 16.7% | 17.9% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 13.43 | 6.7% | 10.7% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.2 pts
Projected Score
Primavera SP 2–0 São Caetano
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Primavera SP
Probability
71.4%
Model confidence
71.4%
Primavera SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Primavera SPWLWDW
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
São CaetanoLDLLL
GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.20/2.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Primavera SPSão Caetano
61.9Attack9.5
71.4Defence33.3
61.9Form9.5
64.2Power21.2
2.43xG0.46