GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Paulista · 8/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Primavera SP are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Paulista are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and power ratings are near level at 51.3 against 49.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Copa Paulista, favouring a draw with 32.7% confidence, a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

32.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Primavera SPDLWLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PaulistaDLWLW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Primavera SPPaulista
30.0Attack30.6
70.0Defence66.7
46.7Form44.4
51.3Power49.3
0.65xG0.50
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