GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Primavera MG · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Primavera MG are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Aparecidense are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.0 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.8% in the Serie D, while Primavera MG holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Primavera MG

Probability

35.3%

Model confidence

15.8%

Primavera MG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Primavera MGDLW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
AparecidenseLLWDW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Primavera MGAparecidense
33.3Attack38.9
56.7Defence52.8
40.0Form38.9
45.0Power45.3
1.01xG0.92
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