Preussen Munstervs
Rot-weiss Essen
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 10/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rot-weiss Essen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Preussen Munster 3-3 Rot-weiss Essen
Original prediction
Rot-weiss Essen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.29 | 27.4% | 31.4% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.4% | 27.6% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.92 | 47.1% | 41.1% | -6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.56 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Rot-weiss Essen
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Rot-weiss Essen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20