GGOALVIO

Germany · 3. Liga · 9/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Preußen Münster · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Preußen Münster 2-1 Havelse

Original prediction

Preußen Münster

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5857.6%45.7%-11.9 pts
Draw4.0222.6%24.5%1.9 pts
Away4.6119.7%29.8%10.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-11.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–27%

Predicted outcome

Preußen Münster

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

45.7%

Preußen Münster has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Preußen MünsterLLDWL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
HavelseWLLDL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Preußen MünsterHavelse
55.6Attack55.6
33.3Defence33.3
44.4Form33.3
45.9Power43.7
1.92xG1.59
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