Preußen Münstervs
Fortuna Köln
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 10/25/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Preußen Münster · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Preußen Münster 1-0 Fortuna Köln
Original prediction
Preußen Münster
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 43.2% | 46.2% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.2% | 25.2% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.04 | 29.6% | 28.7% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Preußen Münster
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Preußen Münster has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20