Preußen Münstervs
Fortuna Düsseldorf
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 10/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Preußen Münster · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Preußen Münster 1-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf
Original prediction
Preußen Münster
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.74 | 33.0% | 36.8% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.8% | 28.7% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 40.2% | 34.5% | -5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Preußen Münster
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Preußen Münster has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00