GGOALVIO

Germany · 3. Liga · 8/5/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Preußen Münster · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Preußen Münster are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Borussia Dortmund II are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Preußen Münster hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 51.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the 3. Liga, while Preußen Münster holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Preußen Münster

Probability

49.4%

Model confidence

49.4%

Preußen Münster has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Preußen MünsterWWWWW

GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Borussia Dortmund IIWDWWW

GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Preußen MünsterBorussia Dortmund II
59.6Attack50.9
57.0Defence53.5
58.8Form47.4
59.3Power51.8
1.86xG1.19
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