Prestonvs
Salford City
COMPLETEDEngland · League Cup · 8/8/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Preston · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Preston are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Salford City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Preston hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 29.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the League Cup, while Preston holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Preston
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Preston has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60