Preston Lionsvs
Wollongong Wolves
COMPLETEDAustralia · Australian Championship · 10/15/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Preston Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Preston Lions 0-0 Wollongong Wolves
Original prediction
Preston Lions
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 63.1% | 45.1% | -18.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.35 | 21.0% | 25.9% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 5.76 | 15.9% | 29.1% | 13.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Preston Lions
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Preston Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80