Preston LionsvsSouth Melbourne

Preston Lions are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while South Melbourne are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Preston Lions hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (85.5 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.2% in the Australia Cup, while Preston Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.