GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 5/24/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Preston Lions are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Oakleigh Cannons are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Oakleigh Cannons hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (63.6 v 69.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the Victoria NPL, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.1%

Model confidence

37.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Preston LionsLWWWD

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Oakleigh CannonsDWWWW

GF 15 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Preston LionsOakleigh Cannons
50.0Attack68.1
72.7Defence70.8
65.2Form70.8
63.6Power69.9
0.94xG1.09
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