Australia CupAustralia Cup
Tuesday, 21 July 2026Last updated 17:32
Preston Lions

Preston Lions

Home
W
32
Full time
Newcastle Jets

Newcastle Jets

Away
D
Genis Steel Stadium
GoalVio prediction
48% confidence
Preston Lions(48%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Preston Lions
48%
Draw
23%
Newcastle Jets
29%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Preston Lions
94
Newcastle Jets
34
Defence
Preston Lions
27
Newcastle Jets
66
Momentum
Preston Lions
100
Newcastle Jets
33
Danger (xG)
Preston Lions
2.70
Newcastle Jets
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Preston Lions)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Newcastle Jets)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Preston Lions)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Newcastle Jets)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Preston LionsPreston Lions
WWWL
Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets
D

Probability breakdown

48% confidence
Preston Lions48%
Draw23%
Newcastle Jets29%

Preston Lions leads with 48% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Preston Lions head into this in Australia Cup fixture at Genis Steel Stadium in mixed form (W), while Newcastle Jets arrive in mixed form (D). Preston Lions have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Newcastle Jets over 1 games.

The model rates Preston Lions's attack at 94/100 against a 66/100 Newcastle Jets defence, and Newcastle Jets's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Preston Lions backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Preston Lions have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Newcastle Jets have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Preston Lions and Newcastle Jets in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Preston Lions to win with 48% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Preston Lions 4795%, Draw 2305%, Newcastle Jets 2900%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Preston Lions

Preston Lions

W
@ Avondale
4 Jul 2026
32
W
@ Sunshine Georgies
27 Jun 2026
20
W
@ Heidelberg United
20 Jun 2026
10
L
@ Altona Magic
16 May 2026
01
Newcastle Jets

Newcastle Jets

D
vs Sydney
16 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Preston Lions vs Newcastle Jets?

GoalVio's model predicts Preston Lions to win with 48% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Preston Lions vs Newcastle Jets?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Preston Lions vs Newcastle Jets?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Preston Lions vs Newcastle Jets?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more