GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 3/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Preston Lions · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Preston Lions are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Heidelberg United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Preston Lions hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (63.6 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Victoria NPL, while Preston Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Preston Lions

Probability

53.6%

Model confidence

13.6%

Preston Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Preston LionsWWWLW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Heidelberg UnitedLWWLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Preston LionsHeidelberg United
50.0Attack52.8
72.7Defence54.2
65.2Form47.2
63.6Power52.7
1.55xG0.81
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