GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 3/20/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Preston Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Preston Lions are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Avondale are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Preston Lions hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (63.6 v 61.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Victoria NPL, while Preston Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Preston Lions

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

39.7%

Preston Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Preston LionsDLWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AvondaleWWWLL

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Preston LionsAvondale
50.0Attack84.7
72.7Defence52.8
65.2Form56.9
63.6Power61.1
1.56xG1.33
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