Preston Lionsvs
Altona Magic
COMPLETEDAustralia · Victoria NPL · 8/29/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Preston Lions · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Preston Lions 2-0 Altona Magic, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Preston Lions 1-1 Altona Magic
Original prediction
Preston Lions
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 61.6% | 71.5% | 9.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.07 | 22.2% | 18.5% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 5.62 | 16.1% | 10.1% | -6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.07 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.8 pts
Projected Score
Preston Lions 2–0 Altona Magic
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Preston Lions
Probability
71.5%
Model confidence
71.5%
Preston Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00