Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pohronie · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Príbelce are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Pohronie are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Pohronie hold a 30.2-point power-rating edge (37.5 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the Cup, while Pohronie holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pohronie
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
9.3%
Pohronie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 17 · avg 2.00/3.40
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60