Prachuapvs
Sukhothai FC
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 1 · 9/13/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Prachuap · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Prachuap 1-0 Sukhothai FC
Original prediction
Prachuap
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 60.7% | 45.7% | -15.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.4% | 27.0% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 5.61 | 15.9% | 27.4% | 11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Prachuap
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Prachuap has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40