Prachuapvs
Chiangrai United
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 1 · 10/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Prachuap · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Prachuap 2-1 Chiangrai United
Original prediction
Prachuap
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 52.6% | 45.4% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.5% | 27.9% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 4.29 | 20.9% | 26.7% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Prachuap
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Prachuap has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40