Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PPJ · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
PPJ are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Reipas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.4 against 51.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.3% in the Kakkonen - Lohko A, while PPJ holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PPJ
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
7.3%
PPJ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40