Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PPJ · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (6%), 3-3 (6%), 2-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PPJ 1-3 Atlantis
Original prediction
PPJ
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.5% | 47.4% | 5.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.10 | 22.0% | 17.9% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 36.5% | 34.7% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–26%
- 2.3–36%
- 3.2–26%
Predicted outcome
PPJ
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
PPJ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PPJWWDLW
GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
AtlantisLDLWW
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PPJAtlantis
66.7Attack100.0
46.0Defence23.8
47.6Form52.4
53.7Power56.6
3.35xG2.77