Pápai Perutzvs
Tatabánya
COMPLETEDHungary · NB III - Northwest · 10/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tatabánya · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Pápai Perutz 0-3 Tatabánya, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Pápai Perutz 0-1 Tatabánya
Original prediction
Tatabánya
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.83 | 11.5% | 14.2% | 2.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.43 | 16.6% | 17.8% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 1.25 | 72.0% | 68.0% | -4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Projected Score
Pápai Perutz 0–3 Tatabánya
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Tatabánya
Probability
68.0%
Model confidence
68.0%
Tatabánya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Pápai PerutzLWLDL
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TatabányaWWWWL
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Pápai PerutzTatabánya
30.0Attack83.3
36.7Defence73.3
36.7Form76.7
37.3Power76.6
0.49xG3.27