Pápai Perutzvs
Gyori ETO II
COMPLETEDHungary · NB III - Northwest · 10/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gyori ETO II · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pápai Perutz 2-1 Gyori ETO II
Original prediction
Gyori ETO II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.93 | 23.2% | 21.3% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.03 | 22.6% | 24.2% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 1.69 | 54.1% | 54.5% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Gyori ETO II
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
54.5%
Gyori ETO II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00