Povltava FAvs
Sparta Praha II
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL A · 9/6/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sparta Praha II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Povltava FA 0-0 Sparta Praha II
Original prediction
Sparta Praha II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.02 | 14.9% | 30.7% | 15.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.79 | 18.8% | 24.6% | 5.8 pts |
| Away | 1.36 | 66.2% | 44.7% | -21.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.79 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Sparta Praha II
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
Sparta Praha II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20