Povltava FAvs
Motorlet Praha
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL A · 9/26/2026, 8:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Povltava FA · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Povltava FA 0-2 Motorlet Praha
Original prediction
Povltava FA
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.06 | 22.1% | 37.4% | 15.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 23.8% | 25.8% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 1.66 | 54.1% | 36.7% | -17.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Povltava FA
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Povltava FA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80