Povltava FAvs
České Budějovice
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL A · 10/10/2026, 8:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
České Budějovice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-4 (11%), 0-3 (10%), 0-5 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Povltava FA 1-3 České Budějovice
Original prediction
České Budějovice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.58 | 13.7% | 17.3% | 3.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.01 | 17.9% | 19.6% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 1.31 | 68.4% | 63.1% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–411%
- 2.0–310%
- 3.0–510%
Predicted outcome
České Budějovice
Probability
63.1%
Model confidence
63.1%
České Budějovice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 17 · GA 11 · avg 3.40/2.20