Považská Bystricavs
MFK Bytča
COMPLETEDSlovakia · 2. liga · 9/26/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Považská Bystrica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Považská Bystrica 4-1 MFK Bytča
Original prediction
Považská Bystrica
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.23 | 73.7% | 77.8% | 4.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.45 | 16.6% | 13.6% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 9.36 | 9.7% | 8.6% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–011%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Považská Bystrica
Probability
77.8%
Model confidence
77.8%
Považská Bystrica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60