Považská Bystricavs
Liptovský Mikuláš
COMPLETEDSlovakia · 2. liga · 10/24/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Považská Bystrica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Považská Bystrica 2-1 Liptovský Mikuláš
Original prediction
Považská Bystrica
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.8% | 40.5% | -3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.2% | 24.7% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.92 | 31.1% | 34.8% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Považská Bystrica
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Považská Bystrica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60