Považská Bystricavs
FK Košice
COMPLETEDSlovakia · Cup · 10/14/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Košice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Považská Bystrica 0-2 FK Košice
Original prediction
FK Košice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 10:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.17 | 28.2% | 36.4% | 8.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 24.6% | 25.0% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 47.1% | 38.6% | -8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
FK Košice
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
FK Košice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20