Považská Bystricavs
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
COMPLETEDSlovakia · 2. liga · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Považská Bystrica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Považská Bystrica 2-1 Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Original prediction
Považská Bystrica
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 46.8% | 38.8% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.7% | 24.7% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.31 | 27.5% | 36.5% | 9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Považská Bystrica
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Považská Bystrica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60