GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portuguesa RJ · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Pouso Alegre are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Portuguesa RJ are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Portuguesa RJ hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (34.0 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Serie D, while Portuguesa RJ holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portuguesa RJ

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

50.3%

Portuguesa RJ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pouso AlegreWDLLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Portuguesa RJDLWDW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Pouso AlegrePortuguesa RJ
20.0Attack42.9
53.3Defence71.4
23.3Form45.2
34.0Power53.7
0.42xG1.16
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