Pouso Alegrevs
Madureira
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 4/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Pouso Alegre are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Madureira are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Madureira hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (34.0 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40