Pouso AlegrevsÁgua Santa

Pouso Alegre are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Água Santa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Água Santa hold a 24.3-point power-rating edge (34.0 v 58.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.4% in the Serie D, while Água Santa holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.