GGOALVIO

England · FA Trophy · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Potters Bar Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Potters Bar Town 2-1 Barton Rovers

Original prediction

Potters Bar Town

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9745.5%46.9%1.4 pts
Draw3.8223.5%25.0%1.5 pts
Away2.8931.0%28.1%-2.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–08%

Predicted outcome

Potters Bar Town

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

Potters Bar Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Potters Bar TownDLLLL

GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Barton RoversLLLWW

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Potters Bar TownBarton Rovers
66.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
59.3Power23.7
2.17xG1.26
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