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Potkozarje logoPotkozarjevsLeotar logoLeotar

COMPLETED

Bosnia · 1st League - RS · 9/26/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Leotar · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Potkozarje 0-1 Leotar, with an exact score probability of 15%.

Prediction record

Final result

Potkozarje 1-1 Leotar

Original prediction

Leotar

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.5325.4%22.8%-2.6 pts
Draw3.2627.5%26.9%-0.6 pts
Away1.9047.1%50.3%3.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.26 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.2 pts

Projected Score

Potkozarje 0–1 Leotar

Exact score probability: 15%

Predicted outcome

Leotar

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

50.3%

Leotar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PotkozarjeWWLLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
LeotarWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 1 · avg 2.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
PotkozarjeLeotar
33.3Attack85.7
66.7Defence85.7
57.1Form90.5
54.7Power86.8
0.71xG1.54
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