Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Potenza · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Potenza 2-1 Catania
Original prediction
Potenza
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 09:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Potenza
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Potenza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PotenzaWWWWD
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CataniaWWWDW
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
PotenzaCatania
83.3Attack63.0
54.2Defence63.0
79.2Form59.3
73.1Power61.4
1.77xG1.48