Potenzavs
AZ Picerno
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone C · 10/4/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Potenza · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Potenza 4-2 AZ Picerno
Original prediction
Potenza
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 58.4% | 42.3% | -16.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 23.8% | 28.9% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 5.08 | 17.8% | 28.8% | 11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Potenza
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Potenza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80