GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Segunda División · 3/18/2023, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Potencia are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Bella Vista are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 3 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Bella Vista hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (34.8 v 37.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PotenciaLD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Bella VistaD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
PotenciaBella Vista
25.0Attack25.0
47.9Defence50.0
21.9Form30.2
34.8Power37.6
0.79xG0.72
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