GGOALVIO

Bosnia · Premijer Liga · 8/19/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Posušje are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Zeljeznicar Sarajevo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo hold a 27.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the Premijer Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

40.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PosušjeLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Zeljeznicar SarajevoWLDWD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PosušjeZeljeznicar Sarajevo
35.4Attack66.7
70.7Defence66.7
48.5Form100.0
53.0Power80.3
0.92xG0.84
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