Posušjevs
Sloboda Tuzla
COMPLETEDBosnia · 1st League - FBiH · 10/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Posušje · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Posušje 2-0 Sloboda Tuzla
Original prediction
Posušje
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 55.7% | 38.0% | -17.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.8% | 28.6% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 4.87 | 18.6% | 33.4% | 14.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Posušje
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Posušje has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20