GGOALVIO

Bosnia · Premijer Liga · 8/4/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Posušje are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Siroki Brijeg are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Siroki Brijeg hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Premijer Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

41.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PosušjeLLL

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.33/2.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Siroki BrijegWD

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
PosušjeSiroki Brijeg
35.4Attack33.3
70.7Defence83.3
48.5Form66.7
53.0Power64.8
0.91xG0.72
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