Posušjevs
GOŠK Gabela
COMPLETEDBosnia · 1st League - FBiH · 9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Posušje · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Posušje 1-0 GOŠK Gabela
Original prediction
Posušje
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 55.1% | 38.0% | -17.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.6% | 27.8% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 4.95 | 18.3% | 34.3% | 16.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Posušje
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Posušje has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20