GGOALVIO

Kenya · FKF Premier League · 10/23/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Posta Rangers FC 0-0 KCB, with an exact score probability of 35%.

Prediction record

Final result

Posta Rangers FC 1-0 KCB

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6533.3%34.3%1.0 pts
Draw2.8131.4%37.0%5.6 pts
Away2.5135.2%28.7%-6.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.6 pts

Projected Score

Posta Rangers FC 0–0 KCB

Exact score probability: 35%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Posta Rangers FCWDWDD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
KCBWLDLD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Posta Rangers FCKCB
29.4Attack29.4
69.6Defence68.6
47.1Form44.1
50.3Power49.0
0.60xG0.49
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