Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Porz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Porz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while SF Düren are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Porz hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (39.3 v 22.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.4% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Porz holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Porz
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
56.4%
Porz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 3.50/2.00