Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pesch · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Porz are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.80 conceded, while Pesch are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Pesch hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (39.3 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Pesch holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pesch
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Pesch has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 19 · avg 1.40/3.80
GF 8 · GA 18 · avg 1.60/3.60