Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pesch · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Porz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Pesch are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pesch hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (39.3 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Pesch holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pesch
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Pesch has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80