Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Porz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Porz are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Hennef 05 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 39.3 against 41.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Porz holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Porz
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Porz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00