Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Porz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Porz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Hennef 05 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 39.3 against 41.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Porz holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Porz
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Porz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60